Estimation of Final Size of COVID-19 Epidemic in Balochistan Province, Pakistan
Received: 14 Jan 2026 / Published: 25 Jul 2024
Abstract
COVID-19 is a new disease that is spreading very fast in Pakistan. Cases have been reported from all of the provinces including Balochistan. The first two confirmed cases in Pakistan had travel history by road from Iran to Balochistan, hence SIR model used to predict the magnitude of the disease in Balochistan from May 2020 on wards when lock down and other social distancing measures were loosen up by the government of Balochistan. Our Prediction model shows that about 30,00000 individuals in Balochistan will be infected by 5th of July 2020. Over all 25% of the total population of Balochistan will be affected by this disease with 98% (2940,000 ) recovery rate by the end of 15th July 2020.
Keywords: Covid-19,Estimation,Prediction,Prediction Model,SIR Model
OPEN ACCESS
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).
CITE
Arif, M.; Kakar, A.; Larik, E. Estimation of Final Size of COVID-19 Epidemic in Balochistan Province, Pakistan. Int J Front Sci 2024, 4, 1.
Arif M, Kakar A, Larik E. Estimation of Final Size of COVID-19 Epidemic in Balochistan Province, Pakistan. Int J Front Sci. 2024; 4(2):1.
Arif, Muhammad; Kakar, Aftab; Larik, Ehsan. 2024. "Estimation of Final Size of COVID-19 Epidemic in Balochistan Province, Pakistan." Int J Front Sci 4, no. 2: 1.
Not implemented
SHARE
